Monmouth
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 89.6150Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Manhattan MAAC ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 214 A LIU NEC (11- 4, 89.4) 8- 9 217 H Wagner NEC ( 5- 8, 84.3) 15- 7 228 H Mount St Marys MAAC ( 3-10, 85.5) 14- 5 303 A NJIT America Eas ( 4- 9, 88.2) 5- 9 307 A VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 8- 9 314 A Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8-12 321 A Hofstra CAA ( 4-10, 89.2) 13-12 328 H Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 20-10 404 A Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 10-15 411 H Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 10-17 425 H Fairfield CAA ( 4-10, 90.3) 14-11 430 A Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 7-14 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Manhattan 15- 9 6 3 + 3.10
214 A LIU 8- 9 -1 -1 0.15
217 H Wagner 15- 7 8 7 0.27
228 H Mount St Marys 14- 5 9 5 1.55
303 A NJIT 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.04
307 A VMI 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.23
314 A Drexel 8-12 -4 -5 0.67
321 A Hofstra 13-12 1 -1 1.99
328 H Hampton 20-10 10 12 0.00
404 A Towson 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.00
411 H Stony Brook 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.98
425 H Fairfield 14-11 3 1 + 2.35
430 A Towson 7-14 o -7 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A NJIT 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.04 411 H Stony Brook 10-17 -7 -1 -- -5.98 307 A VMI 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Manhattan 15- 9 6 3 + 3.10 404 A Towson 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.00 425 H Fairfield 14-11 3 1 + 2.35 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Manhattan ( 4-10, 85.3) 15- 9 -14.56 6.04 1.38 1.10 16.33
3 A LIU (11- 4, 89.4) 8- 9 -10.51 10.09 1.38 1.10 -5.03
3 H Wagner ( 5- 8, 84.3) 15- 7 -15.64 4.95 -1.38 1.10 7.88
3 H Mount St Marys ( 3-10, 85.5) 14- 5 -14.36 6.24 -1.38 1.10 10.70
3 A NJIT ( 4- 9, 88.2) 5- 9 -11.70 8.89 1.38 1.10 -5.69
3 A VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 8- 9 -12.89 7.71 1.38 1.10 -6.34
3 A Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 8-12 -6.99 13.61 1.38 1.10 -3.09
3 A Hofstra ( 4-10, 89.2) 13-12 -10.67 9.92 1.38 1.10 24.88
3 H Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 20-10 -20.60 1.00 -1.38 1.10 -0.83
3 A Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 10-15 -4.57 16.03 1.38 1.10 -1.76
3 H Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 10-17 -7.89 12.70 -1.38 1.10 -5.10
3 H Fairfield ( 4-10, 90.3) 14-11 -9.56 11.04 -1.38 1.10 21.27
3 A Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 7-14 -4.57 16.03 1.38 1.10 -1.76
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51.48
|
winning pts = 80.2374 losing points = -28.7587
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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